[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 03 October 23 issued 2331 UT on 03 Oct 2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/03 OCTOBER 2023
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (03 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
03 Oct   137    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 50% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night and after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15-20% during local night and after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      104
Oct      98
Nov      96


2. FORECAST (04 OCTOBER - 06 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
04 Oct   130    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
05 Oct   130    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
06 Oct   130    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 103 was issued on 
2 October and is current for 2-4 Oct. Maximum usable frequencies 
(MUFs) in the Australian region on UT day 03-Oct were near predicted 
monthly values to 25% enhanced. MUFs are expected to be near 
predicted monthly values to 15% enhanced over 04-06 Oct. Isolated 
minor shortwave fadeouts are possible.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au