[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 14 November 23 issued 2331 UT on 14 Nov 2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Nov 15 10:31:21 EST 2023


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/14 NOVEMBER 2023
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (14 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
14 Nov   125    Fair           

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.0    2305UT  possible   lower  West Pacific

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      130
Nov      100
Dec      98


2. FORECAST (15 NOVEMBER - 17 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
15 Nov   120    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values 
                                 to 20% enhanced
16 Nov   110    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values 
                                 to 20% enhanced    
17 Nov   115    Normal           Near predicted monthly values 
                                 to 20% enhanced   

COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 113 was issued on 
14 November and is current for 15-16 Nov. Maximum usable frequencies 
(MUFs) in the Australian region on UT day 14-Nov were mostly 
near predicted monthly values to 20% enhanced. Sporadic-E was 
observed at most Australian region sites for a 2-3 hour period 
during local night hours. MUFs are expected to be near predicted 
values to 20% enhanced over 15-17 Nov. Some mild degradations 
to HF radio may be observed during local night hours.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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