[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 13 March 23 issued 2337 UT on 13 Mar 2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Tue Mar 14 10:37:05 EST 2023


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/13 MARCH 2023
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (13 MARCH) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
13 Mar   142    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20-30%.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20-30%.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 35-40%.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 1400UT 13/03, Ended at 1500UT 13/03
 and, 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 1615UT 13/03, Ended at 1700UT 13/03

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Feb      117
Mar      80
Apr      80


2. FORECAST (14 MARCH - 16 MARCH)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
14 Mar   120    Normal           15 to 20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values
15 Mar   100    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values    
16 Mar   100    Fair             About 15% below predicted monthly 
                                 values   

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) on UT day 13-Mar were 
20-40% enhanced in the Australian region. MUFs are expected to 
be 15-20% enhanced on 14-Mar, and near monthly values over 15-16 
Mar due to an anticipated mild increase in geomagnetic activity 
over 14-15 Mar. Stronger geomagnetic activity is likely from 
mid 15-Mar from a more recent CME, and depressed ionospheric 
conditions may follow on 16-Mar for the southern Australian region.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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