[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 12 July 23 issued 2330 UT on 12 Jul 2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/12 JULY 2023
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (12 JULY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
12 Jul    96    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M5.8 11/2215UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
  M1.3    0445UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.3    0514UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M6.9    0855UT  probable   lower  Mid East/Indian

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jun      98
Jul      91
Aug      88


2. FORECAST (13 JULY - 15 JULY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
13 Jul   100    Normal           Near predicted monthly values
14 Jul   100    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values    
15 Jul   100    Fair             Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 64 was issued on 
12 July and is current for 12-14 Jul. Maximum usable frequencies 
(MUFs) on UT day 12-Jul in the Australian region were generally 
near predicted monthly values. Spread F was observed during local 
night hours at several Australian sites with stronger occurrences 
at higher latitudes. MUFs are expected to be near predicted monthly 
values over 13-15 Jul with a chance for mild depressions at high 
latitudes on 14-Jul, due to anticipated geomagnetic activity 
on 13-Jul. Shortwave fadeouts are probable.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au