[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 18 January 23 issued 2331 UT on 18 Jan 2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]
Regional Warning Centre
rwc at ips.gov.au
Thu Jan 19 10:31:05 EST 2023
SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/18 JANUARY 2023
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (18 JANUARY)
Date T index Conditions
18 Jan 143 Normal
Flares Max Fadeout Freq. Sectors
M1.8 1035UT possible lower European
MUFs:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 35% during local night.
Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 45% during local night.
Southern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
PCA Event : No event.
Monthly T index:
Month T index
Dec 84
Jan 71
Feb 72
2. FORECAST (19 JANUARY - 21 JANUARY)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
19 Jan 130 Normal-fair Near to 15% above predicted
monthly values
20 Jan 130 Normal Near to 15% above predicted
monthly values
21 Jan 130 Normal Near to 15% above predicted
monthly values
COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 9 was issued on
18 January and is current for 18-20 Jan. Maximum usable frequencies
(MUFs) in the Australian region on UT day 18-Jan were near predicted
monthly values to 45% enhanced in Northern Australia during local
night. Sporadic E was observed at Brisbane and Perth. MUFs are
expected to be near predicted monthly values to 15% enhanced
over 19-21 Jan. Mild degradations due to increased geomagnetic
activity are possible on 19-Jan. Shortwave fadeouts are possible.
----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au
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