[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 12 January 23 issued 2331 UT on 12 Jan 2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/12 JANUARY 2023
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (12 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
12 Jan   123    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.1    0619UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M1.5    0646UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M1.2    1130UT  possible   lower  European
  M1.0    1457UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M1.1    1914UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Dec      84
Jan      71
Feb      72


2. FORECAST (13 JANUARY - 15 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
13 Jan   115    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
14 Jan   115    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
15 Jan   115    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 5 was issued on 
10 January and is current for 11-13 Jan. Maximum usable frequencies 
(MUFs) in the Australian region on UT day 12-Jan were near predicted 
monthly values to 20% enhanced. Sporadic E was observed at Townsville. 
MUFs are expected to be near predicted monthly values to 15% 
enhanced over 13-15 Jan. Shortwave fadeouts are probable.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au