[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 17 December 23 issued 2330 UT on 17 Dec 2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]
Regional Warning Centre
rwc at ips.gov.au
Mon Dec 18 10:30:59 EST 2023
SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/17 DECEMBER 2023
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (17 DECEMBER)
Date T index Conditions
17 Dec 111 Normal-fair
Flares Max Fadeout Freq. Sectors
M1.1 2017UT possible lower East Pacific/
North American
MUFs:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 30% during local day.
Enhanced by 35% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values.
Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
Northern Australian Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values.
Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
Southern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 2335UT 15/12, Ended at 0045UT 16/12
Monthly T index:
Month T index
Nov 114
Dec 100
Jan 98
2. FORECAST (18 DECEMBER - 20 DECEMBER)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
18 Dec 80 Normal Near predicted monthly values/depressed
0 to 15%
19 Dec 90 Normal Near predicted monthly values
20 Dec 100 Normal Near predicted monthly values
COMMENT: ASWFC Preliminary HF Communications Warning 130 was
issued on 15 December and is current for 17-18 Dec. Maximum usable
frequencies (MUFs) were near predicted monthly values in the
Australian region on UT day 17-Dec. Depressions of 20% have been
observed after local dawn in northern Australian regions due
to recent geomagnetic activity. MUFs are generally expected to
be near predicted monthly values over 18-20 Dec. Isolated shortwave
fadeouts are possible.
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au
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