[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 20 September 22 issued 2331 UT on 20 Sep 2022 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Sep 21 09:31:19 EST 2022


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/20 SEPTEMBER 2022
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (20 SEPTEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
20 Sep    74    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.1    1122UT  possible   lower  European

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Aug      53
Sep      68
Oct      69


2. FORECAST (21 SEPTEMBER - 23 SEPTEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
21 Sep    70    Normal           Near predicted monthly values
22 Sep    60    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values    
23 Sep    60    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) on UT day 20-Sep were 
near predicted monthly values for mainland Australia, with enhancements 
of 15-40% at Cocos Island and Niue. Strong spread F was observed 
20/1500-1550UT at Cocos Island. Regional MUFs are expected to 
be near predicted monthly values to 15% enhanced for 21-Sep, 
with mild depressions/degradations possible for southern Australian 
region during local night 22-23 Sep and briefly after local dawn 
due to coronal hole high speed wind stream effects.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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