[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 03 September 22 issued 2330 UT on 03 Sep 2022 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun Sep 4 09:30:59 EST 2022


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/03 SEPTEMBER 2022
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (03 SEPTEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
03 Sep    64    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Aug      53
Sep      68
Oct      69


2. FORECAST (04 SEPTEMBER - 06 SEPTEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
04 Sep    60    Normal           Near predicted monthly values
05 Sep    55    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values    
06 Sep    50    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values 
                                 to 20% depressed   

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) on UT day 03-Sep were 
near predicted monthly values. Degraded conditions were observed 
in Darwin during local night. Sporadic-E was observed at most 
northern Australian sites and Cocos Islands. Regional MUFs are 
expected to be mostly near predicted monthly values to 20% depressed 
over 04-06 Sep, due to the combined effects from a coronal hole 
high speed wind stream and possible weak glancing blow from a 
CME first observed 02-Sep. 

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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