[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 13 October 22 issued 2338 UT on 13 Oct 2022 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

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SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/13 OCTOBER 2022
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (13 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
13 Oct   113    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.5    0020UT  possible   lower  West Pacific

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% to 35%.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 30% to 50%.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% to 25%.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      74
Oct      69
Nov      69


2. FORECAST (14 OCTOBER - 16 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
14 Oct   110    Normal           Near to 30% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
15 Oct   100    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
16 Oct   100    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) on UT day 13-Oct were 
mostly above predicted monthly values by 15-50% enhanced. MUFs 
are expected to be near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced 
over 14-16 Oct, with mostly good HF conditions expected. Slight 
degradations of HF conditions may occur on 15 Oct due to the 
expected arrival of a CME first observed on 11-Oct. Isolated 
minor shortwave fadeouts are possible. Spread F was observed 
during local night hours at Hobart.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au