[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 15 November 22 issued 2330 UT on 15 Nov 2022 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Nov 16 10:30:54 EST 2022


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/15 NOVEMBER 2022
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (15 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
15 Nov    89    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M1/--    0251UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      83
Nov      70
Dec      70


2. FORECAST (16 NOVEMBER - 18 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
16 Nov    85    Normal           Near predicted monthly values
17 Nov    85    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values    
18 Nov    85    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 87 was issued on 
15 November and is current for 15-17 Nov. Maximum usable frequencies 
(MUFs) on UT day 15-Nov were generally near predicted monthly 
values, with enhancements of up to 35% observed at Cocos Island 
during the local day. MUFs are expected to remain near predicted 
monthly values over 16-18 Nov, with degraded conditions possible 
local night hours 17-Nov for the southern Australian region. 
Isolated shortwave fadeouts are possible 16-17 Nov.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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