[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 07 November 22 issued 2331 UT on 07 Nov 2022 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/07 NOVEMBER 2022
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (07 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
07 Nov    95    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M5.2    0011UT  possible   lower  West Pacific

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      83
Nov      70
Dec      70


2. FORECAST (08 NOVEMBER - 10 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
08 Nov    85    Normal           Near predicted monthly values
09 Nov    85    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
10 Nov    85    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 84 was issued on 
7 November and is current for 7-9 Nov. Maximum usable frequencies 
(MUFs) on UT day 07-Nov were enhanced by up to 25% in Northern 
Australia during local night and near predicted monthly values 
in Southern Australia. A shortwave fadeout associated with the M
5.2 flare was observed from 07/0005UT to 07/0021UT. Spread F was 
observed at Hobart during local night hours. Sporadic E was observed
at Brisbane. MUFs are expected to be near predicted monthly values 
over 08-10 Nov. Mild degradations are possible over 09-10 Nov due to coronal 
hole high speed wind stream effects. Shortwave fadeouts are possible.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au