[Ips-dhfpr] SWS Daily HF Prop Report - 14 August 22 issued 2330 UT on 14 Aug 2022 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Mon Aug 15 09:30:58 EST 2022


SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/14 AUGUST 2022 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (14 AUGUST) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
14 Aug    63    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jul      65
Aug      67
Sep      68


2. FORECAST (15 AUGUST - 17 AUGUST)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
15 Aug    60    Normal           Near predicted monthly values
16 Aug    60    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
17 Aug    45    Fair             Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) on UT day 14-Aug were 
mostly near predicted monthly values, with mildly depressed conditions 
in the Northern Australian region during local night. Spread-F 
was observed at Hobart during local night. MUFs are expected 
to be mostly near predicted monthly values over 15-16 Aug. Mildly 
degraded conditions are possible for the southern Australian 
region from 17-Aug due to the expected arrival of CMEs first 
observed on 13-Aug and 14-Aug combined with the effects of an 
equatorial coronal hole high speed wind stream.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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