[Ips-dhfpr] SWS Daily HF Prop Report - 02 May 21 issued 2330 UT on 02 May 2021

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/02 MAY 2021 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (02 MAY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
02 May    19    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Apr      12
May      21
Jun      24


2. FORECAST (03 MAY - 05 MAY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
03 May    10    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 30%
04 May    10    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 30%    
05 May    15    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%   

COMMENT: MUFs in the Australian region on UT day 2 May were mostly 
near predicted monthly values with some moderate depressions 
in the Niue Island region and mild enhancements in the Southern 
Australian region. In the Australian region, mild to moderate 
MUF depressions are possible on UT days 3-5 May due to the expected 
increase in geomagnetic activity.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
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