[Ips-dhfpr] SWS Daily HF Prop Report - 12 January 21 issued 2330 UT on 12 Jan 2021

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Jan 13 10:30:12 EST 2021


SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/12 JANUARY 2021 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (12 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
12 Jan   -13    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Dec      11
Jan      9
Feb      11


2. FORECAST (13 JANUARY - 15 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
13 Jan    -8    Normal           Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 15%
14 Jan     0    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
15 Jan     0    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: On UT day 12 January, MUFs in the Northern Australian 
region were mostly near predicted monthly levels; in the Southern 
Australian region mildly to moderately depressed MUFs were observed. 
Sporadic Es were observed at several Australian sites. MUFs in 
the Australian region are expected to be mostly near predicted 
monthly levels on 13-15 January. Mild to moderate depressions 
are possible on 13 January as a consequence of the recent increase 
in geomagnetic activity. Sporadic E occurrences are expected 
to continue.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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