[Ips-dhfpr] SWS Daily HF Prop Report - 22 December 21 issued 2331 UT on 22 Dec 2021

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Thu Dec 23 10:31:07 EST 2021


SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/22 DECEMBER 2021 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (22 DECEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
22 Dec    77    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.3    0706UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Nov      3
Dec      33
Jan      36


2. FORECAST (23 DECEMBER - 25 DECEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
23 Dec    70    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
24 Dec    70    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
25 Dec    70    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: MUFs in the Australian region for 22 December ranged 
from near predicted monthly values to slightly enhanced by 15-40% 
over the Australia regions. MUFs are expected to be mostly near 
predicted monthly values to slightly enhanced levels to due above 
average levels of solar ionising flux. Shortwave fadeouts possible 
on daylight HF circuits.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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