[Ips-dhfpr] SWS Daily HF Prop Report - 02 March 19 issued 2330 UT on 02 Mar 2019 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun Mar 3 10:30:23 EST 2019


SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/02 MARCH 2019 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (02 MARCH) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
02 Mar   -21    Fair-normal    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Feb      -15
Mar      -12
Apr      -13


2. FORECAST (03 MARCH - 05 MARCH)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
03 Mar   -30    Fair-normal      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 30%
04 Mar   -20    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%    
05 Mar   -20    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%   

COMMENT: On UT day 02 March, MUFs were Mildly depressed to near 
monthly predicted levels over most Australian region as a consequence 
of very low levels of ionising radiation from the Sun and increased 
geomagnetic activity. Sporadic E layers were observed over some 
Australian ionosonde stations. Similar levels of ionospheric 
support are expected for the next 3 days with MUFs either near 
predicted monthly values or mildly to moderately depressed due 
to continued low levels of ionising radiation from the Sun.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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