[Ips-dhfpr] SWS Daily HF Prop Report - 16 November 16 issued 2330 UT on 16 Nov 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Thu Nov 17 10:30:33 EST 2016


SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/16 NOVEMBER 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (16 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
16 Nov    -5    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      10
Nov      26
Dec      25


2. FORECAST (17 NOVEMBER - 19 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
17 Nov     0    Normal           Depressed 15 to 25%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values
18 Nov     0    Normal           Depressed 15 to 25%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values    
19 Nov     0    Normal           Depressed 15 to 25%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Depressed HF conditions observed for the Australian 
region over daylight hours and near predicted MUFs observed during 
local nighttime hours. Expect these conditions to prevail over 
the next two UT days, 17-18 November. Expect possible minor degradations 
in HF communications on 19 November due to weak geomagnetic activity. 
Isolated cases of sporadic E were noted throughout the Australian 
region.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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