[Ips-dhfpr] SWS Daily HF Prop Report - 09 November 16 issued 2349 UT on 09 Nov 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[rwc]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/09 NOVEMBER 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (09 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
09 Nov    11    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      10
Nov      26
Dec      25


2. FORECAST (10 NOVEMBER - 12 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
10 Nov    10    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values
11 Nov   -15    Fair             20 to 30% below predicted monthly 
                                 values    
12 Nov     0    Normal           Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Observed MUF's were at predicted monthly values over 
the last 24 hours for Southern AUS/NZ and Antarctic regions, 
with variable ionospheric support for Northern AUS/Equatorial 
regions with slightly enhanced MUF's during local night and depressed 
MUFs during local day. Similar conditions are expected for most 
of the UT day for 10Nov. An expected increase in geomagnetic 
activity over the next 2 days is expected to result in MUF depressions 
of ~20% for Northern AUS and Southern AUS/NZ regions, possible 
periods of enhanced MUFs for low latitude stations and disturbed 
ionospheric support for Antarctic regions for 11Nov-12Nov.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
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