[Ips-dhfpr] SWS Daily HF Prop Report - 31 October 16 issued 2330 UT on 31 Oct 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Tue Nov 1 10:30:33 EST 2016


SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/31 OCTOBER 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (31 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
31 Oct     2    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 30% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      30
Oct      30
Nov      30


2. FORECAST (01 NOVEMBER - 03 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
01 Nov    10    Normal           Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 20%
02 Nov    20    Normal           Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 15%    
03 Nov    20    Normal           Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 15%   

COMMENT: SWS HF Communications Warning 50 was issued on 30 October 
and is current for 31 Oct to 1 Nov. Normal to depressed MUFs 
were observed for the UT day, 31 October, in the Aus/NZ region. 
Current depressions are associated with low levels of ionising 
radiation and recent geomagnetic activity resulting in ionospheric 
storming. Expect normal to mildly depressed conditions to prevail 
for today, 1 November with some degradation in HF communication 
at high latitudes. Note, there were periods of sporadic E observed 
in the Australian region.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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