[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 15 May 16 issued 2351 UT on 15 May 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Mon May 16 09:51:13 EST 2016


SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/15 MAY 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (15 MAY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
15 May    36    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Apr      30
May      47
Jun      46


2. FORECAST (16 MAY - 18 MAY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
16 May    20    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 20 to 40%
17 May    20    Normal           Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 30%    
18 May    35    Normal           Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%   

COMMENT: IPS Preliminary HF Communications Warning 24 was issued 
on 14 May and is current for 16-17 May. Near predicted to mildly 
depressed conditions were observed in the Australian/NZ regions 
during the UT day of 15 May. Expect near mildly depressed to 
depressed conditions for the UT day 16-17 May in the Australian 
and Antarctic regions.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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