[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 13 May 16 issued 2336 UT on 13 May 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[rwc]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/13 MAY 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (13 MAY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
13 May    31    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Apr      30
May      47
Jun      46


2. FORECAST (14 MAY - 16 MAY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
14 May    35    Normal           Near predicted monthly values
15 May    35    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
16 May    20    Normal-fair      Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Near predicted to mildly depressed conditions were observed 
in the Australian/NZ regions during the UT day of 13 May. Expect 
near mildly depressed to monthly predicted MUFs for the next 
two days (14 - 15 May) in the Australian and Antarctic regions. 
Stronger depression in HF conditions could occur on 16 May due 
to the forecasted active conditions associated with the approaching 
coronal hole.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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