[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 10 May 16 issued 2330 UT on 10 May 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/10 MAY 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (10 MAY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
10 May     9    Fair-normal    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night. 
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 50% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 35% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 25% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Apr      30
May      47
Jun      46


2. FORECAST (11 MAY - 13 MAY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
11 May    25    Normal           Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 30%
12 May    35    Normal           Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%    
13 May    45    Normal           Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 15%   

COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 23 was issued on 8 May 
and is current for 9-11 May. Mildly depressed to depressed conditions 
were observed in the Australian/NZ regions during the UT day 
of 10 May. Degradation in HF conditions MUFs is possible for 
11 May, especially over the southern Australian regions and Antarctica. 
As geomagnetic activity returns to Quiet, expect HF conditions 
to improve over the next three days.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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