[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 01 May 16 issued 2330 UT on 01 May 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/01 MAY 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (01 MAY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
01 May    46    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Apr      30
May      47
Jun      46


2. FORECAST (02 MAY - 04 MAY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
02 May    40    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values
03 May    50    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
04 May    50    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: Conditions for HF radio propagation on UT day 1 May, 
were recovered at all Australian regions, except near the equatorial 
regions (Niue island). The incoming solar radiation causing the 
ionisation is increasing and this is maintaining a good HF propagation 
conditions. HF conditions are expected to recover to nearly monthly 
predicted values by UT day 4 May. The mid and high latitude regions 
might experience mild depressions in response to ongoing Active 
geomagnetic activity today, 2 May.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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