[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 15 March 16 issued 2330 UT on 15 Mar 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Mar 16 10:30:40 EST 2016


SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/15 MARCH 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (15 MARCH) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
15 Mar    64    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Feb      64
Mar      50
Apr      51


2. FORECAST (16 MARCH - 18 MARCH)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
16 Mar    50    Normal-fair      10 to 20% below predicted monthly 
                                 values
17 Mar    60    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
18 Mar    65    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 14 was issued on 14 March 
and is current for 15-16 Mar. Mostly normal HF conditions were 
observed in the Aus/NZ regions during the last 24 hours. Minor 
to moderate degradations in HF conditions and depressions in 
MUFs may be observed in this region on 16 March in response to 
the expectations of continued elevations in the geomagnetic activity 
levels on this day. HF conditions are expected to remain mostly 
normal on 17 and 18 March.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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