[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 03 March 16 issued 2330 UT on 03 Mar 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Mar 4 10:30:37 EST 2016


SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/03 MARCH 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (03 MARCH) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
03 Mar    75    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 40% during local day.
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Feb      64
Mar      50
Apr      51


2. FORECAST (04 MARCH - 06 MARCH)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
04 Mar    70    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
05 Mar    70    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
06 Mar    60    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: The observed MUFs for the Australian region on UT day 
3 March were slightly higher than the predicted monthly MUF values. 
Similar HF conditions are expected for the next three days. The 
incoming solar radiation causing the ionisation has been moderately 
high over the last 7 day and this is maintaining the good HF 
propagation conditions. Losses due to recombination processes 
are at normal levels since there is no strong geomagnetic conditions 
to modify the thermospheric circulations.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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