[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 04 June 16 issued 2330 UT on 04 Jun 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun Jun 5 09:30:20 EST 2016


SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/04 JUNE 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (04 JUNE) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
04 Jun    27    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
May      32
Jun      44
Jul      43


2. FORECAST (05 JUNE - 07 JUNE)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
05 Jun    30    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 15 to 20%
06 Jun    10    Poor-fair        20 to 40% below predicted monthly 
                                 values    
07 Jun    10    Poor-fair        20 to 40% below predicted monthly 
                                 values   

COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 26 was issued on 3 June 
and is current for 5-6 Jun. Moderate MUF depressions were observed 
for equatorial and northern Australian regions over the last 
24 hours. MUFs were near predicted monthly values to slightly 
depressed for Southern Australia, with disturbed periods in the 
Antarctic. Similar conditions are expected on 5-Jun. MUF depressions 
of 20-40% across Australia are likely 6-7 Jun due to expected 
geomagnetic activity.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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