[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 04 January 16 issued 2334 UT on 04 Jan 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[rwc]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/04 JANUARY 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (04 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
04 Jan    61    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Dec      55
Jan      61
Feb      61


2. FORECAST (05 JANUARY - 07 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
05 Jan    55    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values
06 Jan    55    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values    
07 Jan    30    Fair-normal      15 to 20% below predicted monthly 
                                 values   

COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 2 was issued on 4 January 
and is current for 7 Jan only. Mild daytime MUF depressions were 
observed on 4-Jan in southern Australia, with moderate nighttime 
depressions in the north. MUFs were mostly near predicted monthly 
values otherwise. Similar conditions are expected on 5-6 Jan, 
with moderately depressed MUFs likely on 7-Jan due to more active 
geomagnetic conditions.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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