[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 01 February 16 issued 2330 UT on 01 Feb 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/01 FEBRUARY 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (01 FEBRUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
01 Feb    36    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jan      60
Feb      61
Mar      63


2. FORECAST (02 FEBRUARY - 04 FEBRUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
02 Feb    45    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 15%
03 Feb    40    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 20%    
04 Feb    30    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 30%   

COMMENT: Minor to moderate depressions in MUFs and degradations 
in HF conditions were observed on 1 February in the Aus/NZ regions. 
Nearly similar conditions may be expected in this region on 2 
and 3 February. Little more degradations in HF conditions and 
MUF depressions may be possible in this region on 4 February 
due to an expected rise in geomagnetic activity levels on this 
day.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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