[Ips-dhfpr] SWS Daily HF Prop Report - 03 August 16 issued 2330 UT on 03 Aug 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Thu Aug 4 09:30:36 EST 2016


SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/03 AUGUST 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (03 AUGUST) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
03 Aug    40    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jul      27
Aug      38
Sep      36


2. FORECAST (04 AUGUST - 06 AUGUST)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
04 Aug    18    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values
05 Aug    18    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
06 Aug    23    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: Near monthly predicted MUF's were observed over all 
Australasia regions during the last 24 hours (3 August) with 
isolated depression over the Northern Australian region. These 
conditions are expected on Day 1 of storms during winter months 
over the Southern Hemisphere. However, HF conditions are expected 
to become depressed on 4 and 5 August (Day 2 and Day 3 after 
storms), as the storm-associated negative effects began to dominate. 
Near monthly predicted HF condition are expected from 6 August.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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