[Ips-dhfpr] SWS Daily HF Prop Report - 01 August 16 issued 2335 UT on 01 Aug 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[rwc]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/01 AUGUST 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (01 AUGUST) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
01 Aug    15    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available 
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% throughout the UT day
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jul      27
Aug      38
Sep      36


2. FORECAST (02 AUGUST - 04 AUGUST)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
02 Aug    20    Normal           Near predicted monthly values
03 Aug    15    Normal-fair      Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values    
04 Aug    15    Normal-fair      Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Depressed MUF's were observed over all regions during 
the last 24 hours with isolated enhancements over some Southern 
AUS/NZ regions and over the South Pacific Oceans. Moderately 
depressed MUF conditions are expected over the Australasia region 
due to very low levels of solar ionising radiation. Even poorer 
HF conditions are expected on 3 and 4 August in response to the 
forecasted active geomagnetic conditions. Near monthly predicted 
HF condition are expected to occur from 6 August.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
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