[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 17 September 15 issued 2356 UT on 17 Sep 2015

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Sep 18 09:56:19 EST 2015


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/17 SEPTEMBER 2015 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (17 SEPTEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
17 Sep    39    Fair-poor      

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  C9.0    0303UT  probable   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.0    0941UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Aug      46
Sep      75
Oct      73


2. FORECAST (18 SEPTEMBER - 20 SEPTEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
18 Sep    40    Fair             15 to 20% below predicted monthly 
                                 values
19 Sep    40    Fair             15 to 20% below predicted monthly 
                                 values    
20 Sep    40    Fair             15 to 20% below predicted monthly 
                                 values   

COMMENT: Mildly degraded HF conditions were observed during 17 
September over the Australian region due to low levels of ionising 
radiation and sustained mildly elevated geomagnetic activity 
levels. Similar HF conditions are expected for the next few days.
SWFs are possible.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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