[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 12 October 15 issued 2330 UT on 12 Oct 2015

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Tue Oct 13 10:30:43 EST 2015


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/12 OCTOBER 2015 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (12 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
12 Oct    15    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 30% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
      Depressed by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      35
Oct      70
Nov      68


2. FORECAST (13 OCTOBER - 15 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
13 Oct    15    Normal-fair      20 to 30% below predicted monthly 
                                 values
14 Oct     7    Fair             20 to 40% below predicted monthly 
                                 values    
15 Oct     7    Fair             20 to 40% below predicted monthly 
                                 values   

COMMENT: Minor to moderate MUF depressions were observed in the 
Aus/NZ regions over the last 24 hours. Nearly similar conditions 
may be expected on 13 October with the possibility of further 
MUF depressions and degradations in HF conditions on 14 and 15 
October due to expected rise in geomagnetic activity levels during 
this period.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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