[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 17 November 15 issued 2330 UT on 17 Nov 2015 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/17 NOVEMBER 2015 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (17 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
17 Nov    71    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      37
Nov      66
Dec      65


2. FORECAST (18 NOVEMBER - 20 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
18 Nov    60    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 30%
19 Nov    60    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 30%    
20 Nov    70    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: MUFs were mostly near predicted values across the Australian/NZ 
regions on 17 November. Minor to moderate MUF depressions may 
be expected on 18 and 19 November, especially in the Southern 
Aus/NZ regions due to an expected rise in geomagnetic activity 
levels on these days. Conditions may gradually return to near 
normal by late hours on 20 November.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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