[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 11 November 15 issued 2330 UT on 11 Nov 2015 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/11 NOVEMBER 2015 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (11 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
11 Nov    -3    Poor-fair      

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 45% during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 50% during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 40% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      37
Nov      66
Dec      65


2. FORECAST (12 NOVEMBER - 14 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
12 Nov     0    Poor-fair        30 to 40% below predicted monthly 
                                 values
13 Nov    10    Poor-fair        20 to 30% below predicted monthly 
                                 values    
14 Nov     0    Poor-fair        30 to 40% below predicted monthly 
                                 values   

COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 70 was issued on 10 November 
and is current for 11-13 Nov. Australian region HF conditions 
were degraded and observed MUFs were significantly depressed 
over the last 24 hours. Similar conditions are expected over 
the next 3 days, due to disturbed geomagnetic conditions.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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