[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 05 November 15 issued 2330 UT on 05 Nov 2015

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/05 NOVEMBER 2015 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (05 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
05 Nov    15    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 35% during local day.
      Depressed by 40% during local night.
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 30% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      37
Nov      66
Dec      65


2. FORECAST (06 NOVEMBER - 08 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
06 Nov    25    Normal-fair      20 to 30% below predicted monthly 
                                 values
07 Nov    15    Normal-fair      20 to 30% below predicted monthly 
                                 values    
08 Nov    20    Normal-fair      20 to 30% below predicted monthly 
                                 values   

COMMENT: Observed MUF's for the UT day 05 Nov were about 30% 
below the predicted monthly values over the Australasia regions. 
Strong geomagnetic activity during the last 48 hours (04-05 Nov) 
has caused this MUF degradation. With the arrival of another 
active period on UT day Nov 7 associated with the 04 Nov partial 
halo CME, depressed MUF conditions are expected to continue for 
few days (6-8 Nov).

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
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