[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 03 November 15 issued 2330 UT on 03 Nov 2015

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Nov 4 10:30:33 EST 2015


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/03 NOVEMBER 2015 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (03 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
03 Nov    55    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      37
Nov      66
Dec      65


2. FORECAST (04 NOVEMBER - 06 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
04 Nov    50    Normal-poor      Near predicted monthly values
05 Nov    40    Normal-poor      Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values    
06 Nov    50    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 66 was issued on 2 November 
and is current for 3-5 Nov. IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 
67 was issued on 3 November and is current for 3-4 Nov. Observed 
MUF's for the UT day 03 Nov were mostly near the predicted monthly 
values. There is a chance of isolated shortwave fadeouts for 
the next two days due to active sunspot regions (Region 2443 
and 2445). Strong geomagnetic activity forecasted for next two 
days are expected to caused MUF degradation. MUF depression are 
expected to occur in the high latitude regions latter today and 
then gradually expand into mid-latitude regions within the next 
2 days. Depressed MUF conditions are expected to last for few 
days (4-6 Nov).

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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