[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 03 November 15 issued 2330 UT on 03 Nov 2015
Regional Warning Centre
rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Nov 4 10:30:33 EST 2015
SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/03 NOVEMBER 2015 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (03 NOVEMBER)
Date T index Conditions
03 Nov 55 Normal
Flares: none.
MUFs:
Cocos Island Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values.
Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
Niue Island Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values.
Northern Australian Region:
Depressed by 15% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Southern Australian Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values.
Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
PCA Event : No event.
Monthly T index:
Month T index
Oct 37
Nov 66
Dec 65
2. FORECAST (04 NOVEMBER - 06 NOVEMBER)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
04 Nov 50 Normal-poor Near predicted monthly values
05 Nov 40 Normal-poor Depressed 15%/near predicted
monthly values
06 Nov 50 Normal-fair Near predicted monthly values
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 66 was issued on 2 November
and is current for 3-5 Nov. IPS SWF HF Communications Warning
67 was issued on 3 November and is current for 3-4 Nov. Observed
MUF's for the UT day 03 Nov were mostly near the predicted monthly
values. There is a chance of isolated shortwave fadeouts for
the next two days due to active sunspot regions (Region 2443
and 2445). Strong geomagnetic activity forecasted for next two
days are expected to caused MUF degradation. MUF depression are
expected to occur in the high latitude regions latter today and
then gradually expand into mid-latitude regions within the next
2 days. Depressed MUF conditions are expected to last for few
days (4-6 Nov).
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
Space Weather Services email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
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tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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