[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 31 October 15 issued 2338 UT on 31 Oct 2015

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun Nov 1 10:38:55 EST 2015


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/31 OCTOBER 2015 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (31 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
31 Oct    66    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.0    1752UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  C9.0    1933UT  probable   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed to 30% 02-07UT.
      Enhanced to 20% 08-11UT.
      Otherwise near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed 20% around local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Darwin enhanced 30% local night.
      Townsville depressed 10% 03-07UT.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Mildly depressed after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      35
Oct      70
Nov      68


2. FORECAST (01 NOVEMBER - 03 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
01 Nov    60    Normal           Near predicted monthly values
02 Nov    60    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values    
03 Nov    50    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: Observed MUF's mostly near predicted monthly values 
with some variability Equatorial/N Aus regions. Expect similar 
conditions next three days. Chance of isolated shortwave fadeouts 
Equatorial/N Aus regions days one to three local daylight hours 
due to active sunspot region. Disturbed conditions expected S 
Aus/Antarctic region days two and three due to elevated geomagnetic 
activity.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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