[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 16 July 15 issued 2330 UT on 16 Jul 2015

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Jul 17 09:30:37 EST 2015


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/16 JULY 2015 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (16 JULY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
16 Jul    65    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jun      70
Jul      84
Aug      82


2. FORECAST (17 JULY - 19 JULY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
17 Jul    60    Normal           Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values
18 Jul    60    Normal           Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values    
19 Jul    60    Normal           Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 23 was issued on 14 July 
and is current for 15-17 Jul. MUF depressions of up to 20% have 
been seen across much of the Australian region over the last 
24 hours. These conditions are due to low levels of ionising 
solar flux. IPS HF Warning 15/23 has been issued and is current 
for the next day. Depressed conditions are expected for the next 
3 days and a warning is likely to be re-issued when the current 
one expires.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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