[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 17 October 14 issued 2330 UT on 17 Oct 2014

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/17 OCTOBER 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (17 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
17 Oct   106    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      90
Oct      86
Nov      83


2. FORECAST (18 OCTOBER - 20 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
18 Oct   110    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
19 Oct   110    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
20 Oct   110    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Ionospheric propagation conditions mostly normal at 
all regions. With large active region 2192 rotating over the 
SE limb, Solar EUV radiation is expected to continue to rise, 
which should support normal to enhanced ionospheric propagation 
conditions next three days. There is the chance for short-wave 
fadeouts over the forecast period.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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