[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 16 November 14 issued 2330 UT on 16 Nov 2014

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/16 NOVEMBER 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (16 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
16 Nov    74    Normal-fair    

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M5/--    1748UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      107
Nov      86
Dec      85


2. FORECAST (17 NOVEMBER - 19 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
17 Nov   110    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 10%
18 Nov   120    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
19 Nov   125    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Minor to mild MUF enhancements on low latitudes and 
minor to mild MUF depressions on mid latitudes were observed 
today. Due to expected slight rise in geomagnetic activity levels 
minor to mild MUF depressions may be observed across Aus/NZ regions 
on 17 November. Mostly normal HF conditions may be expected in 
this region on 18 and 19 November.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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