[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 06 May 14 issued 2330 UT on 06 May 2014

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/06 MAY 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (06 MAY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
06 May    77    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.8    0906UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M1.0    2211UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 25% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Apr      115
May      91
Jun      90


2. FORECAST (07 MAY - 09 MAY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
07 May    80    Normal           Depressed 5 to 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values
08 May    80    Normal           Depressed 5 to 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values    
09 May    80    Normal           Depressed 5 to 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: The MUFs are near long-term predicted monthly values 
with some nighttime depressions observed in the Australian region. 
Expect these conditions to prevail over the next three days. 
Expect possible disturbed ionospheric support in Antarctic regions 
during the UT day 07 May due to expected geomagnetic activity 
from CME arrival at Earth.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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