[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 20 March 14 issued 2330 UT on 20 Mar 2014

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Mar 21 10:30:30 EST 2014


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/20 MARCH 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (20 MARCH) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
20 Mar   123    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M1/--    0356UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Feb      121
Mar      79
Apr      79


2. FORECAST (21 MARCH - 23 MARCH)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
21 Mar   135    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
22 Mar   135    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
23 Mar   120    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: Observed MUFs were above predicted monthly values for 
20 March and are expected to continue above predicted monthly 
values for the next two days. Mostly normal HF conditions may 
be expected in the Aus/NZ region for the next three days with 
some possibility of minor degradations on 23 March due to a possible 
rise in geomagnetic activity levels on this day. There is small 
chance of SWFs everyday for the next 3 days.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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