[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 10 March 14 issued 2330 UT on 10 Mar 2014

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Tue Mar 11 10:30:25 EST 2014


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/10 MARCH 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (10 MARCH) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
10 Mar   148    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.2    0026UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M1.0    0408UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.7    1528UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M1.2    2254UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 30% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Feb      121
Mar      79
Apr      79


2. FORECAST (11 MARCH - 13 MARCH)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
11 Mar   140    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
12 Mar   140    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
13 Mar   140    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Observed MUFs were generally above predicted monthly 
values. Expect this trend to continue for the next three days. 
Active region 2002 appear to hold potential for further M class 
flares and short-wave fadeouts(SWFs) is possible over the next 
3 days.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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