[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 04 March 14 issued 2330 UT on 04 Mar 2014

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Mar 5 10:30:27 EST 2014


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/04 MARCH 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (04 MARCH) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
04 Mar   159    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 40% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Feb      121
Mar      79
Apr      79


2. FORECAST (05 MARCH - 07 MARCH)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
05 Mar   150    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
06 Mar   150    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
07 Mar   150    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Enhanced HF conditions observed during local day and 
night due to increased ionising EUV/X-ray enhanced by numerous 
active regions on the disc. Geomagnetic activity expected to 
be Quiet for 05-07 March so ionosphere not expected to be too 
variable. Numerous active regions on the disc and region 1974 
which previously produced M-flare is returning to the east limb, 
collectively represent a high probability of M class flares and 
moderate short-wave fadeouts (SWFs).

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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