[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 21 June 14 issued 2330 UT on 21 Jun 2014

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun Jun 22 09:30:27 EST 2014


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/21 JUNE 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (21 JUNE) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
21 Jun    64    Fair-normal    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced 25-50% 08-12 UT. Depressed 20-40%
      03, 05, 13-18, 21-23 UT. Near predicted monthly
      values at other times.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed 25-45% 04-05, 07-12, 16 UT. Near
      predicted monthly values to 20% depressed at
      other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 20% depressed.
      Depressed 25-45% at Darwin 11-18, 21 UT. Depressed
      20-30% at Townsville 02, 07-17 UT. Night spread F
      at times 14-21 UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values to 15% depressed.
      Depressed 20-30% 00-02, 07-10 UT. Night spread F 09-20
      UT at some eastern stations.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 20% depressed 00-13 UT.
      Depressions 20-35% and weaker ionosphere after 13 UT.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
May      80
Jun      92
Jul      91


2. FORECAST (22 JUNE - 24 JUNE)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
22 Jun    70    Fair-normal      Near predicted monthly values 
                                 to 20% depressed.
23 Jun    75    Normal           Near predicted monthly values 
                                 to 20% depressed.    
24 Jun    65    Fair-normal      Near predicted monthly values 
                                 to 20% depressed.   

COMMENT: Lower than expected solar flux is likely to reduce MUFs 
below those based on the monthly T index. Night communications 
may be degraded.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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