[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 20 July 14 issued 2330 UT on 20 Jul 2014

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Mon Jul 21 09:30:29 EST 2014


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/20 JULY 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (20 JULY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
20 Jul    44    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 40% during local night.
      Depressed by 40% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 45% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jun      65
Jul      92
Aug      90


2. FORECAST (21 JULY - 23 JULY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
21 Jul    50    Normal           20 to 30% below predicted monthly 
                                 values
22 Jul    50    Normal           20 to 30% below predicted monthly 
                                 values    
23 Jul    50    Normal           20 to 30% below predicted monthly 
                                 values   

COMMENT: MUFs were depressed throughout the entire Australasian 
region for most of the day, more pronounced at low latitudes. 
This is due to the continued lack of ionising EUV and X-rays 
from the low spot count on the solar disc. This depressed state 
is likely to continue for the next few days, although slightly 
more sunspot activity is now evident and a pickup may be observed 
in 2-3 days.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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