[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 16 July 14 issued 2330 UT on 16 Jul 2014

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/16 JULY 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (16 JULY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
16 Jul    71    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 45% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jun      65
Jul      92
Aug      90


2. FORECAST (17 JULY - 19 JULY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
17 Jul    75    Normal           Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%
18 Jul    75    Normal           Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%    
19 Jul    70    Normal           Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: MUFs were generally depressed throughout the northern 
Australasian region and low latitudes during 15 July due to the 
lack of ionising EUV and X-rays from the low spot count on the 
solar disc. This is likely to continue for the next 2-3 days. 
There was spread F observed at near-equatorial latitudes,suggesting 
activity in the equatorial anomaly/fountain, probably due to 
thermospheric winds, as geomagnetic activity has been Quiet.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain,
confidential or copyright information.  The views expressed in 
this message are those of the individual sender, unless 
specifically stated to be the views of IPS.  If you are not 
the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately 
and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. 
To unsubscribe from an IPS mail list either send an email to 
"MAIL_LIST"-leave at ips.gov.au or go to
http://listserver.ips.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/"MAIL_LIST".
Information about training can be obtained from
http://listserver.ips.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-training.
General information is available from
http://listserver.ips.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-info.