[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 12 February 14 issued 2351 UT on 12 Feb 2014

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/12 FEBRUARY 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (12 FEBRUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
12 Feb   137    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M3.7    0426UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.0    0613UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M1.0    0637UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M2.3    0658UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M2.1    1551UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jan      119
Feb      75
Mar      75


2. FORECAST (13 FEBRUARY - 15 FEBRUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
13 Feb   120    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
14 Feb   120    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
15 Feb   120    Fair             Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 7 was issued on 12 
February and is current for 13-14 Feb. The ionosphere in the 
Australian region was mostly normal to enhanced over the last 
24 hours. MUFs were generally above predicted monthly values 
at most locations. MUFs are expected to continue to be enhanced 
next three days. Further short-wave fadeouts are likely over 
the next 2 days.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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