[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 16 December 14 issued 2331 UT on 16 Dec 2014

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Dec 17 10:31:32 EST 2014


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/16 DECEMBER 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (16 DECEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
16 Dec    94    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Enhanced by 55% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Nov      113
Dec      87
Jan      87


2. FORECAST (17 DECEMBER - 19 DECEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
17 Dec   110    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
18 Dec   110    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
19 Dec   110    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 60 was issued on 14 
December and is current for 15-17 Dec. MUFs were slightly depressed 
early in the UT day, 16 December, and near predicted monthly 
values later in the UT day in the Australian region. Cocos Island 
station observed enhanced conditions. Isolated cases of sporadic 
E were observed in the south western and north eastern Australian 
regions. Near monthly predicted MUFs are expected for the next 
3 days with isolated periods of mild enhancements likely and 
pockets of mild depressions possible.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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